The Lancet Respiratory Medicine

Background In adults, cold-attributable mortality exceeds heat-attributable mortality roughly 17-fold. Child-specific evidence has begun to emerge only recently - a nationwide Brazilian case-crossover study located the minimum mortality temperature (MMT) for under-five deaths, and a 56-country survey-based analysis linked monthly temperature anomalies to under-five mortality - but no multi-country, climate-zone-resolved estimate of the childhood respiratory-infection MMT exists, and whether temperature variability is independently associated with childhood respiratory mortality at the global scale is unknown. We quantified both. Methods We combined Global Burden of Disease 2023 mortality estimates, lower respiratory infection (LRI) deaths at ages 0-19 years and asthma deaths at ages 0-24 years, 171 countries, 1990-2023 - with 0.5 deg monthly land temperature and diurnal temperature range (DTR) fields from C-LSAT/C-LDTR (1901-2023). Four exposure dimensions (annual mean, DTR, seasonal amplitude, interannual variability) entered two-way fixed-effects models with Driscoll-Kraay standard errors. A quadratic term in mean temperature located the MMT, with percentile confidence intervals from a 300-replication country-cluster bootstrap. Future-exposure leads, country-level detrending, and permutation tests assessed contemporaneous causality, applied to both the linear coefficients and the quadratic term generating the MMT; national pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV3) coverage and ambient PM2.5 exposure series were added as time-varying mechanistic covariates. Results The childhood LRI MMT was 17.1 C (95% CI 14.7-19.8), the 36th percentile of the annual-temperature distribution; zone estimates were 24.7 C in tropical and 15.8 C in subtropical countries, with weak temperate and no subarctic identification. The quadratic term underpinning the MMT, however, failed both falsification checks - future temperatures reproduced the U-shape and country-level detrending erased it - so these MMT values describe a trend-level geographic pattern of the annual construct rather than a contemporaneous dose-response. Interannual temperature variability was positively associated with LRI (+0.278, 95% CI 0.102-0.454; p = 0.002) and asthma mortality (+0.836, 95% CI 0.447-1.226; p = 2.6 x 10^-5) per 1 C, but future-exposure models returned nearly identical significant coefficients and detrending erased significance, supporting only a trend-level association; adjustment for national PCV3 coverage and PM2.5 exposure left these estimates essentially unchanged. Annual mean temperature was likewise inversely associated with both outcomes at the trend level; DTR and seasonal amplitude showed no independent within-country effects. Conclusions This study provides the first multi-country, climate-zone-resolved geography of the optimal temperature for childhood respiratory survival, spanning 171 countries; because the underlying quadratic association is trend-level, the estimates are directional. The observed variability-mortality associations are trend-level signals rather than contemporaneous causal evidence; daily-scale, child-specific designs are required to determine whether short-term thermal variability affects paediatric respiratory mortality.

Autoantibodies neutralizing type I IFNs (AAN-IFN-I) have been found in significant proportions of cases of severe, critical, and fatal COVID-19 pneumonia. We performed a systematic review of 54 studies reporting auto-Abs against type I IFNs and a meta-analysis of 20 studies reporting auto-Abs neutralizing type I IFNs published between 2020 and 2026. The meta-analysis included data for 11,380 SARS-CoV-2-infected individuals from Europe, North America, South America, Asia, the Middle East, North Africa and international multicenter cohorts, including 7,814 with severe or critical disease (69%). The pooled prevalence of AAN-IFN-I was estimated at 7.9% (95% CI, 6.0-10.4). Disease severity was strongly associated with AAN-IFN-I prevalence (OR, 11.7; 95%CI, 7.6-17.9; P=5x10^-29). The pooled prevalence of AAN-IFN-I reached 11.4% (95% CI, 10.2-12.7%) in patients with severe or critical COVID-19 and 15.3% (95% CI, 12.1-19.2%) in those who died. The prevalence of AAN-IFN-I increased with age in patients with severe, critical, or fatal COVID-19. AAN-IFN-I probably accounted for about 1.1 million of the 7.1 million deaths from COVID-19. AAN-IFN-I are strong, common, global determinants of life-threatening COVID-19 pneumonia.

Importance: Pharmacological targeting of host mechanisms that limit sepsis-induced organ dysfunction represents a new therapeutic approach. Preclinical studies showed that low-dose epirubicin enhances tissue damage control and attenuates sepsis severity independently of pathogen burden, thereby promoting disease tolerance to infection. Yet epirubicin can cause myelotoxicity when used in cancer therapy. Objective: To investigate whether low-dose epirubicin can safely be administered to patients with sepsis and septic shock. Design, Setting, and Participants: A randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial conducted in five German University hospitals. Patients with sepsis, defined by Sepsis-3 criteria, were eligible within 48 hours after diagnosis. The first patient was enrolled on October 19, 2022, and the last follow-up was conducted on May 21, 2025. Interventions: Eligible patients were randomized in a 4:1 ratio to receive either placebo or low-dose epirubicin in addition to standard care. There were three consecutive phases. Patients in the epirubicin group received a single dose of epirubicin (either 3.75 mg/m2, 7.5 mg/m2 or 15 mg/m2, depending on study phase). Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary endpoint of the trial was the 14-day myelotoxicity. Secondary and explorative outcomes included 90-day mortality, the degree of organ dysfunction as assessed by SOFA score, PK/PD modelling and cytokine release. Results: Of 854 patients assessed for eligibility, 32 were randomized and 31 were included in the primary analysis population. Six participants received placebo, nine participants received 3.75 mg/m2, nine received 7.5 mg/m2 and eight individuals received 15 mg/m2 epirubicin, respectively. There was no myelotoxicity in any group. Mortality at 90 days and SOFA-scores were not significantly different between groups. Two of 39 SAEs in the epirubicin group were assessed by the investigators as possibly related to epirubicin, Conclusions and Relevance Among patients with sepsis and septic shock, low dose epirubicin was not associated with increased myelotoxicity.

Interstitial lung diseases (ILDs) are heterogeneous pulmonary disorders characterized by chronic inflammation and/or fibrosis. 30-40% of ILD patients develop fibrotic disease that is associated with progressive respiratory decline and poor prognosis, particularly in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. Current antifibrotic therapies slow disease progression but do not reverse fibrosis, highlighting the need for improved therapeutic strategies. Robust histopathological evaluation in preclinical models is essential for drug development; however, conventional scoring systems are semi-quantitative, labor-intensive, subject to inter-observer variability, and rely on limited field sampling. Here, we introduce FibroSight, a standalone platform for compartment-resolved quantification of lung remodeling in Sirius Red-stained sections. By integrating deep learning- based structural segmentation with color-based feature extraction, FibroSight enables highly automated whole-lobe analysis without requiring complex computational setup. The platform quantifies complementary remodeling parameters, including parenchymal collagen fraction, parenchymal tissue density, nuclear area fraction, parenchymal airspace fraction, and airway- and vascular-associated remodeling. Validated in the bleomycin-induced fibrosis model, FibroSight-derived metrics strongly correlated with expert Ashcroft scoring and showed stronger associations with histological severity than corresponding outputs from a semi-automated ImageJ-based workflow. The platform further distinguished inflammatory from fibrotic remodeling in influenza-induced lung injury and demonstrated translational proof-of-concept applicability in human ILD biopsy specimens. By enabling scalable, reproducible, and multi-compartment histological quantification, FibroSight provides a practical framework for objective assessment of lung remodeling. This approach expands conventional fibrosis evaluation by integrating fibrotic, inflammatory, airway, and vascular-associated readouts, supporting more precise analysis of disease mechanisms and therapeutic responses in preclinical and translational ILD research.

Seeking a simple vaccine to protect against all cancer-associated human papillomaviruses (HPV), L2 residues 17-36 of both HPV16 and HPV31 displayed on the surface of an Adeno-Associated Virus-Like Particle (AAVLP-HPV) was developed. Here, a phase 1 randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind clinical study has been conducted in 20 male and female subjects at a single dose level (20 ug) without an adjuvant. AAVLP-HPV vaccine administration was safe and well tolerated. Repeat vaccination with AAVLP-HPV elicited L2-specific neutralizing antibodies of modest titer in serum. Antibodies cross-reactive with L2 of diverse HPV types were detected, but responses were weak in most vaccinees. We conclude that while AAVLP-HPV vaccination is well tolerated, an adjuvant is likely needed to consistently elicit durable and broadly neutralizing responses.

Antimicrobial resistance generates a vast, rapidly growing literature, yet no resource offers a comprehensive, evidence-linked repository of AMR findings at scale. We present ResLit, an automated pipeline and public database that mines the AMR literature for resistance genes, mutations, organisms, and mechanisms. From 2 million candidate PubMed records, BioMistral-7B screened abstracts to 356,000 relevant papers; multi-tier retrieval yielded 117,000 full texts, from which Qwen3-30B performed two-step extraction. ResLit contains 3,120 genes and 13,593 mutations, cross-linked to CARD, ResFinder, and NCBI Reference Gene Catalog across four evidence tiers. It further supports community-driven curation of automated outputs and reference databases. Freely available at www.reslit.info.

Tuberculosis (TB) is a life-threatening disease with heterogenous presentation. Approximately one-quarter of the global population is infected with Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb), yet a much smaller fraction develops active TB disease. Host genetics, immune system function, and environmental factors have all been implicated in susceptibility to Mtb, yet no one factor fully explains TB heterogeneity. Strikingly, many of these same factors are linked to gut microbiome composition, which is intimately linked to systemic development of the immune system. Antibiotic treated mouse models suggest that increased gut microbiota diversity is protective against Mtb infection. In contrast, Helicobacter hepaticus colonization is correlated with exacerbated Mtb burden. However, antibiotics can have both microbial and nonmicrobial targets and studies to date have not deconvoluted these effects. Focused testing of specific microbiome members has been impossible without a gnotobiotic model for Mtb. Here, we develop the first gnotobiotic mouse model for Mtb infection and test how microbial diversity in the gut microbiome impacts host susceptibility to Mtb. Surprisingly, after intranasal challenge with Mtb, germ-free wild type mice had no difference in lung burden when compared to mice born with either a defined gut microbiome community (OMM-12) or a diverse, conventional microbiota. H. hepaticus gut colonization of OMM-12 and conventional mice also did not impact Mtb burden in the lungs in this controlled setting. H. hepaticus colonization of the gut did perturb lung immune responses associated with TB infection control. CD4+ T cells were decreased, CD8+ T cells were increased, and IL-6 production was decreased. While the gut microbiome may yet play a role in immune compromised mouse models or human disease, comparing drastically different gut microbiotas in gnotobiotically controlled C57BL/6 mice did not yield any evidence of alteration in Mtb lung burden. The hosts unique immune response to Mtb may in part make the pathogen resistant to immune disruption caused by gut microbiome changes.

Tuberculosis (TB) remains the leading cause of infectious mortality. The limited efficacy of the only TB vaccine, Bacille Calmette-Guerin (BCG) against pulmonary disease necessitates improved vaccines. Host factors such as malnutrition and microbiome composition shape immune responses in humans, though these factors are overlooked in preclinical vaccine evaluation. Here we show that a recombinant BCG strain, BCG::ESAT-6-PE25SS, confers superior protection compared to BCG across murine models of malnutrition, antibiotic-induced dysbiosis and environmentally enriched microbiota. Unexpectedly, malnourished mice displayed reduced Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) burden, associated with altered host metabolism and immune composition. Microbiome disruption increased TB susceptibility, whereas diversification of microbiota enhanced resistance and immune heterogeneity. Vaccine efficacy correlated with enrichment of known immunomodulatory microbial taxa. These findings suggest diet-microbiome-immunity interactions as potential key determinants of TB pathogenesis and provide evidence for the importance of vaccine candidate evaluation under physiologically relevant co-morbid conditions

Background: Polymorphisms in the N-acetyltransferase 2 (NAT2) gene explain much of the interindividual variation in isoniazid (INH) metabolism and determine risk of toxicities. However, there is limited evidence to guide INH dose adjustment according to the NAT2 acetylator profile in weekly rifapentine-INH tuberculosis preventive therapy (TPT). Methods: In a prospective, multicenter, within-subject PK trial (NCT05413551), adults initiating 3HP in Brazil were assigned genotype-guided INH doses (slow: 5 mg/kg <=300 mg; intermediate: 15 mg/kg <=900 mg; rapid: 25 mg/kg <=1,500 mg) alongside a standard 900 mg flat dose on an alternate occasion. AUC0-24 and C24 were estimated from serial blood samples; a two-compartment Michaelis-Menten population PK model characterized NAT2 effects on clearance. Results: Among 228 participants, 47.4% (108/228) were intermediate, 43.4% (99/228) slow, and 9.2% (21/228) rapid acetylators. Genotype-guided dosing reduced AUC0-24 variability approximately two-fold versus standard dosing (CV 58.8% vs 76.8%) and increased exposure uniformity (median AUC0-24 27.2 [IQR 18.8-41.3] vs 43.2 [27.3-71.0] mg h/L). Among slow acetylators, C24 >0.15 ug/mL decreased from 27/42 (64%) with standard dosing to 1/42 (2%) with genotype-guided dosing (P<0.0001). In 104 participants with intensive PK sampling, rapid acetylators receiving guided doses had AUC0-24 similar to standard-dose intermediate acetylators (42.8 vs 39.5 mg h/L; P=.63). Monte Carlo simulations supported doses of 600, 900, and 1,200 mg for slow, intermediate, and rapid acetylators, respectively. Conclusions: NAT2-guided isoniazid dosing reduced variation in drug levels, averting very low and high AUC and C24. These findings inform genotype-stratified dosing of INH for TPT, which might reduce toxicities and improve outcomes.

Background Elexacaftor-tezacaftor-ivacaftor (ETI) has been demonstrated to improve lung function in clinical trials; however, evidence describing effects on trajectories and whether long-term improvements are sustained (>1-year) is lacking. We estimated within-person lung clearance index (LCI) trajectories before and after ETI initiation, assessing changes in level and rate of change, alongside acute LCI change, up to three years after ETI initiation. Methods Prospective observational study of children at a tertiary hospital. Children aged 3-17 years with [&ge;]2 LCI testing occasions (i) before and (ii) after starting ETI were used to describe lung function trajectories. Children with [&ge;]1 pre-ETI and [&ge;]1 post-ETI LCI occasion(s) were used to describe acute LCI change after ETI initiation. Age-adjusted LCI trajectories for time periods (i) before and (ii) after ETI initiation were estimated using linear mixed-effects models, and pre- and post-ETI LCIs were compared using paired Wilcoxon tests. Results Mean pre-ETI and post-ETI longitudinal changes in LCI were -0.007 (95% CI: -0.28, 0.27; n=35) and 0.12 (95% CI: -0.17, 0.41; n=20) turnovers per year, respectively. Before ETI initiation, 57% (30/53) of patients had an LCI[&ge;]7.1 turnovers (indicating impaired lung function), compared to 26% (14/53) post-ETI, with a median LCI difference of -0.70 (95% CI -0.84, -0.46; p<0.001) turnovers. Within-individual variability in LCI decreased post-ETI. Conclusions Our real-world data within a unique longitudinal study provide a comprehensive picture of ETI benefit by outlining not only acute improvement in LCI but maintained stability in LCI trajectories and improved LCI stability sustained up to three years post-initiation.

Ageing and cytomegalovirus (CMV) infection drive major alterations to T-cell immunity. Age is also associated with an increased risk of cancers including melanoma, which is treated with T-cell modifying immune checkpoint blockade (ICB). However, the extent to which age, CMV, and treatment-induced immune changes interact to shape clinical outcomes remains poorly understood. We investigated this through flow cytometric evaluation of pre- and early on-treatment blood samples of 79 advanced melanoma patients. Age and CMV infection were associated with significant and largely distinct changes to T cell phenotype pre-treatment but had no impact on clinical outcome. Older patients ([&ge;]65 years) had fewer CD8+ Tnaive, CD4+ Tcm, TFH, and B cells, and increased CD8+ TemRA, but similar cytokine and inhibitory marker expression. Conversely, CMV drove expansion of CD8+ and CD4+ TemRA cells with enhanced effector function without reducing naive populations. One cycle of PD-1 and CTLA-4 ICB induced immune cell expansion and phenotype changes of greater magnitude and partially distinct from those seen during PD-1 with or without LAG-3 ICB, but these effects were largely independent of age or CMV serostatus. Hence, neither ageing nor CMV were associated with clinical outcome or immunological response to ICB in advanced melanoma patients.

Research on Pseudomonas aeruginosa adaptation in cystic fibrosis (CF) has historically relied on comparing chronic isolates to laboratory reference strains, or evolving reference strains in environments simulating chronic CF. This work has established a small set of genes, including lasR, mucA, and mexZ, as canonical markers of CF patho-adaptation. However, without broad non-CF comparators, it remains unclear how specific these signatures are to CF. We used a structured literature review to define 20 historically emphasized "canonical CF genes", then evaluated their mutational patterns across 4,475 genetically distinct P. aeruginosa genomes from seven defined clinical and environmental contexts. We tested four competing hypotheses: (1) enrichment in adult CF alone, (2) in adult and pediatric CF combined, (3) in chronic lung infections broadly (including non-CF bronchiectasis), or (4) no strong environment-specific enrichment. We found little evidence that canonical gene mutations were specifically enriched in adult CF or CF more broadly. Instead, loss-of-function and individual mutations in genes including mucA, mexB, and mexZ were enriched across chronic lung infections, while most canonical genes (including lasR) showed no strong environment-specific enrichment. These results demonstrate that a canon of genes believed to drive patho-adaptation in CF instead largely reflects the narrow comparative framework of past studies rather than CF-exclusive selection. Our findings emphasize shared evolutionary pressures between CF and non-CF bronchiectasis, highlighting opportunities to exchange research and therapeutic insights across chronic infection clinical contexts.

Chronic Pseudomonas aeruginosa lung infections are becoming harder to treat due to global escalation of antimicrobial resistance (AMR). Bacteriophage (phage) therapy has emerged as a promising adjunct to conventional antibiotics, especially in chronic lung infections such as those seen in cystic fibrosis (CF). However, phage monotherapy may be limited by the emergence of phage-resistant bacterial populations and there remains limited preclinical evidence evaluating both antimicrobial efficacy and host safety in physiologically relevant human airway models. Here, we evaluated the safety and antimicrobial activity of Kara-mokiny 3, a myovirus bacteriophage, alone and in combination with subinhibitory concentrations of tobramycin using fully differentiated paediatric primary airway epithelial cells (pAECs) cultured at the air-liquid interface (ALI). Kara-mokiny 3 rapidly reduced P. aeruginosa viability and exhibited synergistic activity with tobramycin, resulting in significantly greater bacterial killing than either treatment alone. Importantly, phage treatment replicated efficiently in the presence of its bacterial host while preserving epithelial morphology, mucin production and epithelial barrier architecture., without inducing cytotoxicity or excessive IL-6 and IL-8 inflammatory responses. These findings demonstrate that phage-antibiotic combination therapy can enhance antimicrobial activity while maintaining epithelial safety in a physiologically relevant human airway model. This study represents one of the first comprehensive evaluations of phage-antibiotic combination therapy in differentiated primary airway epithelial cultures, providing important preclinical evidence supporting the development of personalised phage-based therapies for the treatment of MDR pulmonary infections. ImportanceThe rise of MDR P. aeruginosa has created an urgent need for alternative treatment strategies for chronic lung infections. Although phage therapy is receiving increasing clinical attention, there is limited evidence evaluating its safety and efficacy in physiologically relevant human airway models. Using differentiated primary airway epithelial cultures, we demonstrate that a phage-antibiotic combination reduces bacterial burden without compromising epithelial integrity and toxicity or excessive inflammatory responses. These findings provide translational evidence supporting phage-antibiotic combination therapy and highlight the value of primary airway epithelial models for the preclinical assessment of emerging antimicrobial interventions, supporting the translation of personalised phage therapies.

Background Childhood respiratory mortality in China has fallen by over 90% in three decades alongside sustained national warming, yet national long-run evidence on temperature and child respiratory mortality is lacking. Methods We linked Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 mortality estimates for China - lower respiratory infections (LRI), ages 0-19, and asthma, ages 0-24, 1990-2021 - with C-LSAT 0.5 deg gridded temperature data (1990-2019), aggregated nationally and to five climate zones. Four annual indicators (mean temperature, diurnal temperature range, seasonal amplitude, interannual variability) entered regressions of log mortality rates with Newey-West standard errors. A bootstrapped (500 resamples) quadratic model probed the minimum mortality temperature (MMT), with PM2.5-adjusted analyses and future-exposure, permutation, and detrended falsification tests. Results LRI deaths fell by 96.3% (330,194 in 1990 to 12,098 in 2021; 95% uncertainty interval 9,669-14,891) and asthma deaths by 94.9% (3,287 to 167), while mean temperature rose 0.364 deg C per decade and diurnal temperature range narrowed 0.092 deg C per decade. Baseline coefficients were large (mean temperature -1.696, SE 0.174; diurnal temperature range +2.408, SE 0.336; seasonal amplitude -0.162, SE 0.082; interannual variability +2.924, SE 1.514, per 1 deg C in log rate), but the future-exposure test failed and detrending nullified every coefficient: the associations are trend-level, and short-cycle causal effects are not identifiable. Nor was the national MMT identifiable - observed temperature support spans only 6.66-8.13 deg C, and the nominal turning point of 35.84 deg C is an extrapolation artifact (quadratic term p = 0.963). Within the observed range, warming and declining mortality moved in the same direction. Conclusions The 96% decline in childhood respiratory mortality cannot be attributed to warming. China sits on the low-temperature side of the optimum, and the marginal direction of future warming requires stronger designs to establish. The falsification framework offers a discipline for climate-health inference in China.

Background & AimsHaematoxylin and eosin (H&E) staining remains the diagnostic gold standard for solid cancers, including hepatocellular carcinoma, and is increasingly complemented by genomic profiling for precision medicine. Inferring genomic alterations directly from H&E images could streamline testing, but heterogeneity and biases in human training data limit interpretation of genotype-phenotype associations. Here, we aimed to relate histologic to genomic pathology to provide biological explainability for mutation prediction models and assess the impact of germline variation on model performance. MethodsWe analysed 597 murine liver tumours with matched whole-genome sequencing and histopathology (163,835 image tiles; 22.9 million nuclei). Our controlled in vivo design accounted for germline variation, biological sex, and causal mutagen (N-diethylnitrosamine), removing confounding factors present in human cohorts. We trained and evaluated deep learning and supervised machine learning models to predict germline variation and cancer driver alterations from H&E. ResultsModelling accurately predicted germline and somatic alterations from histology, at both locus-specific and genome-wide scales. Quantitative image analysis revealed an unexpected association between Egfr driver mutations and hepatic steatosis, linking genotype to an interpretable morphological phenotype. While model performance declined when applied to tumours from unrepresented genetic backgrounds, this limitation was biologically informative, revealing strain-dependent differences in tumour evolution, notably the prevalence of whole-genome duplication. ConclusionsMachine learning integration of histological and genomic pathology enables accurate, interpretable inference of genetic alterations from H&E, potentially reducing reliance on costly ancillary molecular assays. Our predictions are supported by human-interpretable biological features, addressing concerns around "black-box" technologies. However, caution is required when applying such methods to samples with a genetic background that, even if closely related, is beyond the genetic horizon of training data.

Rationale. Guidelines disagree on antibacterial treatment for adults with community-acquired pneumonia and a positive respiratory viral test, particularly hospitalized patients and outpatients with comorbidities. Objectives. To estimate associations between antibacterial treatment selected for community-acquired pneumonia and outcomes in adults with virus-positive, imaging-evaluated nonsevere pneumonia. Methods. We conducted a retrospective multicenter study using Epic Cosmos data from 2016-2025. Hospitalized patients treated empirically by 24 hours were compared by continuation during hours 24-48; outpatients were compared by prescription at emergency-department discharge. Analyses were stratified by guideline-defined comorbidity and used propensity-score overlap weighting with source-cluster bootstrap confidence intervals. Exploratory analyses assessed respiratory virus, antiviral treatment, antibacterial class, and outpatient timing. Measurements and Main Results. The cohort included 376,320 adults: 275,604 inpatients and 100,716 outpatients. Inpatients who continued treatment had higher 30-day adverse-event risk without guideline comorbidity (adjusted risk difference, 1.70 percentage points; 95% confidence interval, 0.80-2.39) and with guideline comorbidity (2.56; 1.88-3.14), and longer post-landmark stay (adjusted mean ratios, 1.14 and 1.08). Exploratory class-specific analyses showed the largest adverse-event and mortality associations with broad therapy targeting resistant staphylococci or Pseudomonas; macrolide-containing and other atypical coverage showed no consistent adverse signal. Outpatient prescribing was associated with lower risks, but care-transition and residual confounding remained. Conclusions. Continued inpatient therapy after the empiric period showed no evidence of benefit and was associated with worse observed outcomes. Outpatient associations favored prescribing but remained vulnerable to care-transition and residual confounding.

Hydroclimate whiplash, defined as the rapid transition between unusually wet and dry conditions, is expected to intensify under climate change, yet its population health impacts remain largely unknown. Here we quantified the association between hydroclimate whiplash and mortality across the contiguous United States from 2003 to 2023 using monthly county-level mortality records, standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index data, and two-stage time-series models. We identified overall and direction-specific dry-to-wet and wet-to-dry whiplash events at seasonal and sub-annual timescales and across 5-, 10-, and 20-year recurrence intervals. More severe whiplash events were associated with higher all-cause mortality risk; 5-, 10-, and 20-year sub-annual overall whiplash events increased mortality risk over five months by 3.4%, 4.5%, and 5.7%, respectively. Elevated risks were observed across cause-specific mortality outcomes, with the strongest association for infectious diseases. We estimated that 103,471 deaths were attributable to overall whiplash during the study period. These findings identify hydroclimate whiplash as an emerging climate-related public health threat and suggest that adaptation strategies focused on single hazards may underestimate the health burden of rapid, sequential hydroclimatic extremes.

2.Rhinoviruses (RVs) are the predominant cause of the common cold and a major trigger of acute asthma exacerbations. Yet, unlike related enteroviruses such as poliovirus (PV) and enterovirus A71 (EV-A71), no approved vaccines or antivirals exist. Because enteroviruses depend heavily on host factors for replication, cellular proteins that support the replication of multiple enteroviruses have emerged as attractive broad-spectrum antiviral targets that may offer a higher barrier to resistance than virus-targeted therapies. The 70-kDa heat shock protein (Hsp70) family, a highly conserved class of molecular chaperones, is required for the replication of several enteroviruses, including EV-A71 and coxsackievirus A16, but whether RVs share this dependency was unknown. Here, we show that two mechanistically distinct small-molecule inhibitors of the Hsp70 family abolish replication of RV-A16, a clinically relevant RV type widely used in asthma research. Using siRNA knockdown, we demonstrate a role for HSPA8, the major constitutively expressed Hsp70 isoform, in RV replication. We further demonstrate that Hsp70 activity is indispensable for viral translation, identifying this as a key Hsp70-dependent step in the RV replication cycle. Together, these findings establish Hsp70 chaperones as essential host factors for RV replication and strengthen the rationale for targeting them as a broad-spectrum antiviral strategy. 3. Impact statementRhinoviruses are the predominant cause of the common cold and major triggers of exacerbations in people with asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, yet no licensed antiviral therapies exist. Although several enteroviruses are known to require Hsp70 chaperones for replication, whether rhinoviruses share this dependence was unknown. Here, we address this gap by demonstrating that Hsp70 chaperones are essential host factors for rhinovirus replication and are required for viral translation. These findings advance our understanding of how rhinoviruses exploit the host cell machinery and broaden the evidence supporting Hsp70 chaperones as potential antiviral targets across the Enterovirus genus. As host-targeted therapies may be less vulnerable to resistance than direct-acting antivirals, these findings represent an important step towards the development of urgently needed anti-rhinoviral therapeutics and will be of interest to virologists, respiratory clinicians and antiviral drug developers.

In 1992, inhaled NO (iNO) at low doses entered the practice of medicine for cardiopulmonary indications. Recently, iNO at higher doses has been tested in diverse pulmonary infections. However, nothing is known about the ability of exogenous NO gas to kill Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb), the leading cause of death from infection between major viral pandemics. Here we mimicked exposure conditions used in recent human studies of high-dose iNO to explore the effects of NO gas against Mtb in vitro and in mice. We saw a profound bactericidal effect of NO gas in vitro against Mtb incubated in shallow, mildly acidic fluid. Mtb-infected mice tolerated inhaled NO well, except for developing more methemoglobinemia than humans at the same level of exposure. In Mtb-infected mice with poorly aerated pulmonary infiltrates, inhaled NO had an anti-inflammatory effect but did not reduce the bacterial burden. These results may help inform the decision whether to test inhaled NO as an adjunctive treatment for tuberculosis, and if so, in what settings and with what goals.

Introduction Acute lower respiratory tract disease (aLRTD) is a leading cause of hospitalisation and death, particularly in older adults and adults with comorbidities, with acute lower respiratory tract infection (aLRTI; pneumonia and non-pneumonic LRTI) being a major component. Non-pulmonary complications and functional decline after aLRTI are recognised, but their pathogen-specific burden is poorly described. We aimed to quantify renal, hepatic, thromboembolic and functional complications, and mortality, after aLRTI hospitalisation, by clinical phenotype and pathogen. Methods We conducted a cohort study of adults (>18 years) admitted with aLRTD to two hospitals in Bristol, UK (01 August 2022-31 July 2024). aLRTD was classified as pneumonia, non-pneumonic LRTI (NP-LRTI) or no diagnosis of aLRTI. Pathogens were identified from standard-of-care and research microbiology. Outcomes were acute kidney injury (AKI), acute liver dysfunction, venous thromboembolism (VTE), in-hospital falls, reduced mobility at discharge, increased care requirements, and 30-day and 1-year mortality. Analyses were descriptive. Results Among 246,797 adult admissions, 21,456 aLRTD hospitalisations were included: 10,239 (47.7%) pneumonia, 7,742 (36.1%) NP-LRTI and 3,475 (16.2%) with no evidence of aLRTI. Of 19,152 tested aLRTD admissions, 8,503 (44.4%) had a positive microbiological/virological test, yielding 9,204 pathogen detections; 1,194 (6.2%) had co-infections, and SARS-CoV-2 was most frequent, with influenza the second most common in pneumonia and NP-LRTI. Pneumonia had greater severity than NP-LRTI and no diagnosis of aLRTI (median length of stay 6 vs 4 vs 4 days; ICU admission 3.4% vs 0.7% vs 0.5%, respectively). Overall, 22.2% developed AKI, 6.1% acute liver dysfunction, 0.6% DVT and 2.4% PE; 1.8% had a fall, 11.5% reduced mobility, and 16.6% required increased care at discharge. 30-day and 1-year mortality were highest for pneumonia (14.0% and 32.0%, respectively). Pathogen-specific analyses showed longer stays and higher complications and mortality rates for SARS-CoV-2 and Streptococcus pneumoniae, and shorter stays with lower complication and mortality rates for influenza and Haemophilus influenzae. Conclusions Non-cardiovascular complications and functional decline after aLRTI were common, particularly in pneumonic and SARS-CoV-2 or pneumococcal disease. These findings support routine surveillance for renal, hepatic, thromboembolic events, early mobilisation and rehabilitation, and consideration of multi-system outcomes when evaluating public health and economic value of vaccines and therapies.